Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:00 • Gazprom Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.57) 0.77 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 15.3% 9.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.8%
3 - 0
9.9%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit 0 3.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.3% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZenitSpartak Moscow
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack35%45%
Defense90%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zenit Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins90%30%60%64%33%50%
Draws10%50%30%27%22%25%
Loses0%20%10%9%44%25%

Form: Zenit: WDDLDWWDWWDWWWDWWWWL • Spartak Moscow: WLDLDWWDWWLDWLWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Zenit Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
GF total221436181533
GF avg2.21.41.81.61.71.7
GA total5914121628
GA avg0.50.90.71.11.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZenitSpartak Moscow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%50%90%75%
1.560%20%55%40%
2.515%0%15%20%
3.510%0%5%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZenitSpartak Moscow
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410415
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricZenitSpartak Moscow
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricZenitSpartak Moscow
Wins42
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses—2-10-34-2
Goals For5343
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricZenitSpartak Moscow
Form55%45%
Att44%56%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Zenit or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away4.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zenit = 2.53 (league 1.57), Spartak Moscow = 0.77 (league 1.10)

Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit 0 3.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.3% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 9.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1