Premier League
— Russia
Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 16:45 •
Lukoil Arena
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.52)
1.72 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.0% | 23.3% | 60.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 2
13.0%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Krasnodar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Moscow | 0 | 8.8% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | FC Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 38% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | FC Krasnodar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 69% | 33% | 52% | 77% | 50% | 64% |
| Draws | 23% | 25% | 24% | 8% | 42% | 24% |
| Loses | 8% | 42% | 24% | 15% | 8% | 12% |
Spartak MoscowWLDLDWWDWWLDWLWWLDWWLWWDW
FC KrasnodarWLWWWWDWLDWWWWDDWWWLWWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | FC Krasnodar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 20 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Moscow | FC Krasnodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 76% | 92% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 36% | 52% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 16% | 24% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | FC Krasnodar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | FC Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | FC Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | FC Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.43 @ Dafabet
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away3.06 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ Marathonbet
No2.22 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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