Premier League
— Russia
Sat, May 2 2026 • 16:00 •
VEB Arena
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.51)
1.30 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.7% | 27.9% | 43.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Zenit | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CSKA Moscow | 0 | 9.9% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Zenit carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 104 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: CSKA Moscow -18.0, Zenit +9.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
CSKA Moscow
vs
Zenit
Elo gapZenit +104
Home / draw / away29% / 18% / 53%
Expected home share35%
Combined Elo3362.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3362.2
Elo home share
35%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1611.4 | 1750.8 |
| Form Elo | 1587.4 | 1760.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1590.5 | 1586.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1610 | 1705.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1579.7 | 1753.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -18.0 | +9.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. CSKA Moscow last-5 Elo change: -18.0; Zenit last-5 Elo change: +9.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 73% |
| Attack | 36% | 55% |
| Defense | 64% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Zenit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 69% | 29% | 48% | 86% | 38% | 63% |
| Draws | 15% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 46% | 30% |
| Loses | 15% | 43% | 30% | 0% | 15% | 7% |
CSKA MoscowDWDWWWDLWWWLWWWLWLLLLWWLDDD
ZenitWDDLDWWDWWDWWWDWWWWLWWWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Zenit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 13 | 38 | 29 | 18 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 13 | 15 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CSKA Moscow | Zenit | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 74% | 89% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 15% | 59% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 11% | 15% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Zenit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.38 @ 1xBet
Draw3.74 @ 1xBet
Away1.92 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.03 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.92 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
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