Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:30 • Gazprom Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.37 (league 1.57) 0.73 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.9% 9.0% 4.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.6%
2 - 0
9.5%
4 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit 0 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZenitFC Orenburg
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack71%57%
Defense86%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zenit FC Orenburg
HATHAT
Played459639
Wins75%20%44%0%33%11%
Draws25%60%44%67%0%44%
Loses0%20%11%33%67%44%

Form: Zenit: WDDLDWWDW • FC Orenburg: DDLLWDDLL

League goals

Metric Zenit FC Orenburg
HATHAT
GF total96156511
GF avg2.31.21.71.01.71.2
GA total2579716
GA avg0.51.00.81.52.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZenitFC Orenburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%78%89%
1.567%22%44%56%
2.511%0%0%33%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZenitFC Orenburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score022202

Penalties

MetricZenitFC Orenburg
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricZenitFC Orenburg
Wins21
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-21-2
Biggest losses1-01-33-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricZenitFC Orenburg
Form69%31%
Att56%44%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total72.5%27.5%

Advice: Double chance : Zenit or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.19 @ 1xBet
Draw8.65 @ 1xBet
Away16.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Zenit = 3.37 (league 1.57), FC Orenburg = 0.73 (league 1.17)

FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit 0 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.9% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 4.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1