Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 09:00 • Gazovik Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.57) 1.02 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 31.6% 37.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Rostov
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 14.7% 15.1% 7.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 6.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC OrenburgFC Rostov
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack47%29%
Defense12%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Orenburg FC Rostov
HATHAT
Played64105510
Wins0%25%10%40%0%20%
Draws67%0%40%40%40%40%
Loses33%75%50%20%60%40%

Form: FC Orenburg: DDLLWDDLLL • FC Rostov: LLLWLDDWDD

League goals

Metric FC Orenburg FC Rostov
HATHAT
GF total6713448
GF avg1.01.81.30.80.80.8
GA total912215712
GA avg1.53.02.11.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC OrenburgFC Rostov
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%60%60%
1.550%60%10%30%
2.50%40%10%20%
3.50%10%0%10%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC OrenburgFC Rostov
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score202134

Penalties

MetricFC OrenburgFC Rostov
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFC OrenburgFC Rostov
Wins11
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-21-0
Biggest losses1-35-21-42-1
Goals For2213
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricFC OrenburgFC Rostov
Form22%78%
Att62%38%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%100%
Goals31%69%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Rostov

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.56 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away2.19 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Orenburg = 0.89 (league 1.57), FC Rostov = 1.02 (league 1.17)

FC Rostov
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 14.7% 15.1% 7.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 6.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 37.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1