Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 10:00 • Samara Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.57) 3.07 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 16.6% 39.2%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.5%
2 - 2
5.4%
3 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Krylia Sovetov 0 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7%
1 0.9% 2.6% 4.0% 4.1% 3.2% 1.9%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.4% 5.5% 4.2% 2.6%
3 1.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 3.8% 2.3%
4 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.6%
5 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack37%32%
Defense53%26%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Krylia Sovetov FC Orenburg
HATHAT
Played56117411
Wins40%17%27%0%25%9%
Draws20%33%27%57%0%36%
Loses40%50%45%43%75%55%

Form: Krylia Sovetov: DWWDLLDWLLL • FC Orenburg: DDLLWDDLLLL

League goals

Metric Krylia Sovetov FC Orenburg
HATHAT
GF total79166713
GF avg1.41.51.50.91.81.2
GA total101121101222
GA avg2.01.81.91.43.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%73%91%
1.545%55%45%55%
2.59%27%0%36%
3.59%9%0%9%
4.50%9%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score112303

Penalties

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
Wins21
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-41-2
Biggest losses0-63-11-35-2
Goals For2422
Goals Against6335

Model comparison

MetricKrylia SovetovFC Orenburg
Form80%20%
Att54%46%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Krylia Sovetov or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ 1xBet
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away3.52 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.02 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Krylia Sovetov = 2.68 (league 1.57), FC Orenburg = 3.07 (league 1.17)

FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Krylia Sovetov 0 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7%
1 0.9% 2.6% 4.0% 4.1% 3.2% 1.9%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.4% 5.5% 4.2% 2.6%
3 1.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 3.8% 2.3%
4 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.6%
5 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 39.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1