Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:00 • Lukoil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.52) 1.57 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 17.2% 19.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Orenburg
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack67%33%
Defense53%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Moscow FC Orenburg
HATHAT
Played75127512
Wins57%20%42%0%20%8%
Draws29%40%33%57%20%42%
Loses14%40%25%43%60%50%

Form: Spartak Moscow: WLDLDWWDWWLD • FC Orenburg: DDLLWDDLLLLD

League goals

Metric Spartak Moscow FC Orenburg
HATHAT
GF total119206814
GF avg1.61.81.70.91.61.2
GA total81018101323
GA avg1.12.01.51.42.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak MoscowFC Orenburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%75%75%92%
1.567%42%42%50%
2.58%25%0%33%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Orenburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score101303

Penalties

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Orenburg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Orenburg
Wins21
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-34-21-35-2
Goals For3222
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Orenburg
Form89%11%
Att67%33%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Moscow or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Superbet
Draw6.46 @ 1xBet
Away10.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Moscow = 2.74 (league 1.52), FC Orenburg = 1.57 (league 1.12)

FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1