Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 09:00 • Gazovik Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.52) 1.25 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 26.3% 33.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.0%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Sochi
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 7.4% 9.2% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.5% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC OrenburgFC Sochi
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack57%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Orenburg FC Sochi
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins0%17%8%17%14%15%
Draws57%17%38%17%14%15%
Loses43%67%54%67%71%69%

Form: FC Orenburg: DDLLWDDLLLLDL • FC Sochi: LLLDLLLLLDWLW

League goals

Metric FC Orenburg FC Sochi
HATHAT
GF total68144711
GF avg0.91.31.10.71.00.8
GA total101424141630
GA avg1.42.31.82.32.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC OrenburgFC Sochi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%54%92%
1.538%46%15%77%
2.50%31%8%38%
3.50%8%8%15%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC OrenburgFC Sochi
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score314336

Penalties

MetricFC OrenburgFC Sochi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFC OrenburgFC Sochi
Wins11
Draws21
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-12-4
Biggest losses1-35-20-45-1
Goals For2224
Goals Against3545

Model comparison

MetricFC OrenburgFC Sochi
Form13%88%
Att36%64%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : FC Orenburg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away3.46 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.92 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Orenburg = 1.36 (league 1.52), FC Sochi = 1.25 (league 1.12)

FC Sochi
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 7.4% 9.2% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.5% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1