Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 14:00 • Sogdiana Sport Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.46) 1.21 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 29.5% 43.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sogdiana 0 12.4% 15.0% 9.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSogdianaNeftchi
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack100%89%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sogdiana Neftchi
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%0%27%73%45%59%
Draws27%36%32%9%45%27%
Loses18%64%41%18%9%14%

Form: Sogdiana: LLLWDLWLDLDDWLWLDWLDWD • Neftchi: DDDWWLWWDWDWDWWLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Sogdiana Neftchi
HATHAT
GF total181028191736
GF avg1.60.91.31.71.51.6
GA total10182810919
GA avg0.91.61.30.90.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSogdianaNeftchi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%77%82%50%
1.536%36%55%27%
2.55%14%18%5%
3.55%0%9%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSogdianaNeftchi
HATHAT
Clean sheets4156511
Failed to score044224

Penalties

MetricSogdianaNeftchi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSogdianaNeftchi
Wins14
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—4-01-4
Biggest losses2-32-00-42-1
Goals For4244
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricSogdianaNeftchi
Form40%60%
Att53%47%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Neftchi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.45 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sogdiana = 0.88 (league 1.46), Neftchi = 1.21 (league 1.12)

Neftchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sogdiana 0 12.4% 15.0% 9.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 43.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1