Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:15 • Milliy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.45) 2.08 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 20.2% 61.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.6%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nasaf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bunyodkor 0 4.9% 10.2% 10.6% 7.4% 3.8% 1.6%
1 4.6% 9.5% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.1% 4.4% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBunyodkorNasaf
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bunyodkor Nasaf
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%42%43%67%64%65%
Draws36%42%39%33%27%30%
Loses18%17%17%0%9%4%

Form: Bunyodkor: DWWWDDWLDLDDWWWWDLWDWLD • Nasaf: WDDWWWWDDWWWWDDWDLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Bunyodkor Nasaf
HATHAT
GF total171936232144
GF avg1.51.61.61.91.91.9
GA total13152871017
GA avg1.21.31.20.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBunyodkorNasaf
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%65%91%61%
1.552%35%61%13%
2.513%13%22%0%
3.50%4%13%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBunyodkorNasaf
HATHAT
Clean sheets358729
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricBunyodkorNasaf
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricBunyodkorNasaf
Wins44
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-01-4
Biggest losses2-35-1—1-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricBunyodkorNasaf
Form35%65%
Att37%63%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nasaf

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.07 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bunyodkor = 0.93 (league 1.45), Nasaf = 2.08 (league 1.10)

Nasaf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bunyodkor 0 4.9% 10.2% 10.6% 7.4% 3.8% 1.6%
1 4.6% 9.5% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.1% 4.4% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 61.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1