Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 • Istiqlol Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.47) 1.12 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.3% 22.7% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Andijan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 5.1% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.8% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.4% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeftchiAndijan
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack62%38%
Defense77%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neftchi Andijan
HATHAT
Played111223121022
Wins73%50%61%33%20%27%
Draws9%42%26%25%40%32%
Loses18%8%13%42%40%41%

Form: Neftchi: DDDWWLWWDWDWDWWLWWWWLWW • Andijan: DDDWWLLLLLWDDWLWDLLLDW

League goals

Metric Neftchi Andijan
HATHAT
GF total191837141428
GF avg1.71.51.61.21.41.3
GA total10919181634
GA avg0.90.80.81.51.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeftchiAndijan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%48%73%86%
1.552%26%36%41%
2.517%4%18%9%
3.59%4%0%9%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeftchiAndijan
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612303
Failed to score224336

Penalties

MetricNeftchiAndijan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNeftchiAndijan
Wins42
Draws33
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-02-3
Biggest losses0-42-12-64-3
Goals For4433
Goals Against4264

Model comparison

MetricNeftchiAndijan
Form75%25%
Att62%38%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h75%25%
Goals75%25%
Total71.3%28.7%

Advice: Double chance : Neftchi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away7.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neftchi = 1.85 (league 1.47), Andijan = 1.12 (league 1.13)

Andijan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 5.1% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.8% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.4% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.3% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1