Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Surkhon
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.47) 1.06 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 31.7% 40.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Samarqand
0 1 2 3 4 5
Surkhon 0 15.3% 16.1% 8.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 13.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSurkhonDinamo Samarqand
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack17%100%
Defense17%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Surkhon Dinamo Samarqand
HATHAT
Played111223111122
Wins45%8%26%45%55%50%
Draws36%25%30%36%36%36%
Loses18%67%43%18%9%14%

Form: Surkhon: LLLWLWDWLWLDLWDDDWLLDDL • Dinamo Samarqand: DWWDDWWWDWWLWLDDWDWDLW

League goals

Metric Surkhon Dinamo Samarqand
HATHAT
GF total12618141933
GF avg1.10.50.81.31.71.5
GA total81624131225
GA avg0.71.31.01.21.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSurkhonDinamo Samarqand
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%65%82%68%
1.522%35%45%41%
2.59%4%18%5%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSurkhonDinamo Samarqand
HATHAT
Clean sheets538437
Failed to score5712224

Penalties

MetricSurkhonDinamo Samarqand
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSurkhonDinamo Samarqand
Wins13
Draws32
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-02-4
Biggest losses0-23-10-32-1
Goals For3234
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricSurkhonDinamo Samarqand
Form20%80%
Att14%86%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h7%93%
Goals17%83%
Total24.0%76.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Dinamo Samarqand and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Surkhon = 0.82 (league 1.47), Dinamo Samarqand = 1.06 (league 1.13)

Dinamo Samarqand
0 1 2 3 4 5
Surkhon 0 15.3% 16.1% 8.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 13.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 40.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1