Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:15 • Istiqlol Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.46) 0.85 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.5% 25.0% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Olmaliq
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 8.6% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.7% 11.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeftchiOlmaliq
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack45%45%
Defense85%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neftchi Olmaliq
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins75%50%63%50%50%50%
Draws8%42%25%33%0%17%
Loses17%8%13%17%50%33%

Form: Neftchi: DDDWWLWWDWDWDWWLWWWWLWWW • Olmaliq: WWWDWWLWWDLDLLWWWDLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Neftchi Olmaliq
HATHAT
GF total211839211435
GF avg1.81.51.61.81.21.5
GA total10919121527
GA avg0.80.80.81.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeftchiOlmaliq
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%46%63%71%
1.554%25%46%25%
2.517%4%25%13%
3.58%4%8%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeftchiOlmaliq
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613437
Failed to score224549

Penalties

MetricNeftchiOlmaliq
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricNeftchiOlmaliq
Wins43
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-45-11-3
Biggest losses0-42-10-14-1
Goals For4453
Goals Against4234

Model comparison

MetricNeftchiOlmaliq
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h75%25%
Goals57%43%
Total64.3%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Neftchi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away6.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neftchi = 1.60 (league 1.46), Olmaliq = 0.85 (league 1.12)

Olmaliq
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 8.6% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.7% 11.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1