Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:30 • Stadion Guzar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.45) 2.60 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.7% 13.0% 76.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.4%
0 - 3
12.5%
0 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shortan 0 4.3% 11.1% 14.4% 12.5% 8.1% 4.2%
1 2.4% 6.1% 8.0% 6.9% 4.5% 2.3%
2 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShortanNeftchi
Played55
Form7%80%
Attack56%78%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shortan Neftchi
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins17%0%8%77%50%64%
Draws17%31%24%8%42%24%
Loses67%69%68%15%8%12%

Form: Shortan: LLDLLLLLDWLDWLLLDLLDLDLLL • Neftchi: DDDWWLWWDWDWDWWLWWWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Shortan Neftchi
HATHAT
GF total12719221840
GF avg1.00.50.81.71.51.6
GA total23244710919
GA avg1.91.81.90.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShortanNeftchi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%84%84%44%
1.512%64%52%24%
2.58%28%16%4%
3.50%12%8%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShortanNeftchi
HATHAT
Clean sheets2248614
Failed to score3811224

Penalties

MetricShortanNeftchi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricShortanNeftchi
Wins14
Draws13
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-01-4
Biggest losses1-44-00-42-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against4442

Model comparison

MetricShortanNeftchi
Form8%92%
Att42%58%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h71%29%
Goals45%55%
Total34.3%65.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Neftchi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ 188Bet
Away1.39 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shortan = 0.55 (league 1.45), Neftchi = 2.60 (league 1.10)

Neftchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shortan 0 4.3% 11.1% 14.4% 12.5% 8.1% 4.2%
1 2.4% 6.1% 8.0% 6.9% 4.5% 2.3%
2 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 76.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1