Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 13:30 • Buxoro Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.46) 1.33 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 24.8% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sogdiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxoro 0 5.7% 7.6% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.6% 7.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.9% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuxoroSogdiana
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack43%71%
Defense7%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buxoro Sogdiana
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%8%20%54%8%32%
Draws25%23%24%23%33%28%
Loses42%69%56%23%58%40%

Form: Buxoro: LWWLLLLLLDDDLWDLLDLWLWDLL • Sogdiana: LLLWDLWLDLDDWLWLDWLDWDLWW

League goals

Metric Buxoro Sogdiana
HATHAT
GF total17825201232
GF avg1.40.61.01.51.01.3
GA total182745121931
GA avg1.52.11.80.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuxoroSogdiana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%80%80%80%
1.520%48%40%32%
2.512%24%4%12%
3.58%16%4%0%
4.54%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuxoroSogdiana
HATHAT
Clean sheets325415
Failed to score3811145

Penalties

MetricBuxoroSogdiana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBuxoroSogdiana
Wins21
Draws32
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-11-2
Biggest losses0-46-02-32-0
Goals For5442
Goals Against4633

Model comparison

MetricBuxoroSogdiana
Form29%71%
Att38%63%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total36.2%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sogdiana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Superbet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ SBO
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Bwin
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buxoro = 1.54 (league 1.46), Sogdiana = 1.33 (league 1.12)

Sogdiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxoro 0 5.7% 7.6% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.6% 7.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.9% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 32.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1