Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 10:00 •
Istiqlol Stadium
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.46)
0.36 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8% | 22.9% | 7.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Surkhon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi | 0 | 13.7% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.3% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Neftchi | Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 27% |
| Attack | 62% | 38% |
| Defense | 92% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Neftchi | Surkhon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 77% | 54% | 65% | 46% | 8% | 27% |
| Draws | 8% | 38% | 23% | 31% | 23% | 27% |
| Loses | 15% | 8% | 12% | 23% | 69% | 46% |
Form: Neftchi: DDDWWLWWDWDWDWWLWWWWLWWWWW • Surkhon: LLLWLWDWLWLDLWDDDWLLDDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Neftchi | Surkhon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 20 | 42 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 18 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Neftchi | Surkhon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 42% | 50% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 23% | 23% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 4% | 12% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Neftchi | Surkhon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Neftchi | Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Neftchi | Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Neftchi | Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 67.5% | 32.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Neftchi or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Neftchi = 1.63 (league 1.46), Surkhon = 0.36 (league 1.12)
| Surkhon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi | 0 | 13.7% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.3% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 7.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1