Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 13:00 • Buxoro Arena
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.45) 1.92 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 21.0% 64.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.6%
0 - 2
13.1%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxoro 0 7.1% 13.6% 13.1% 8.4% 4.0% 1.5%
1 5.2% 9.9% 9.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.9% 3.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuxoroNeftchi
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack27%53%
Defense40%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buxoro Neftchi
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%7%22%79%54%67%
Draws23%29%26%7%38%22%
Loses38%64%52%14%8%11%

Form: Buxoro: LWWLLLLLLDDDLWDLLDLWLWDLLWD • Neftchi: DDDWWLWWDWDWDWWLWWWWLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Buxoro Neftchi
HATHAT
GF total19928242044
GF avg1.50.61.01.71.51.6
GA total18284611920
GA avg1.42.01.70.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuxoroNeftchi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%78%85%44%
1.522%44%56%22%
2.511%22%15%4%
3.57%15%7%4%
4.54%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuxoroNeftchi
HATHAT
Clean sheets4268715
Failed to score3811224

Penalties

MetricBuxoroNeftchi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBuxoroNeftchi
Wins24
Draws33
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-01-4
Biggest losses0-46-00-42-1
Goals For5444
Goals Against4642

Model comparison

MetricBuxoroNeftchi
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total27.5%72.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Neftchi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away1.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buxoro = 0.73 (league 1.45), Neftchi = 1.92 (league 1.10)

Neftchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxoro 0 7.1% 13.6% 13.1% 8.4% 4.0% 1.5%
1 5.2% 9.9% 9.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.9% 3.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 64.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1