Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 11:15 • Istiqlol Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.45) 0.44 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 19.9% 7.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.6%
2 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Qizilqum
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 9.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.6% 8.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.4% 7.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeftchiQizilqum
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack100%83%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neftchi Qizilqum
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins79%50%64%50%14%32%
Draws7%43%25%21%36%29%
Loses14%7%11%29%50%39%

Form: Neftchi: DDDWWLWWDWDWDWWLWWWWLWWWWWWD • Qizilqum: WLLDWLWDLLLDDDWDWDWDLLLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Neftchi Qizilqum
HATHAT
GF total24214515924
GF avg1.71.51.61.10.60.9
GA total111021152237
GA avg0.80.70.81.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeftchiQizilqum
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%46%57%64%
1.554%21%25%39%
2.514%4%4%25%
3.57%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeftchiQizilqum
HATHAT
Clean sheets87156410
Failed to score2244812

Penalties

MetricNeftchiQizilqum
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNeftchiQizilqum
Wins61
Draws33
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-01-2
Biggest losses0-42-10-34-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against4234

Model comparison

MetricNeftchiQizilqum
Form59%41%
Att62%38%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total66.3%33.7%

Advice: Double chance : Neftchi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ 188Bet
Draw5.64 @ 1xBet
Away16.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Marathonbet
No1.42 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neftchi = 1.87 (league 1.45), Qizilqum = 0.44 (league 1.09)

Qizilqum
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi 0 9.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.6% 8.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.4% 7.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1