Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 13:15 • Pakhtakor Central Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.45) 1.09 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 25.9% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Nasaf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pakhtakor 0 7.6% 8.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.3% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPakhtakorNasaf
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack100%70%
Defense80%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pakhtakor Nasaf
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins79%43%61%64%50%57%
Draws0%36%18%29%43%36%
Loses21%21%21%7%7%7%

Form: Pakhtakor: LLWLLWWLWWWDWDWWLDWWWDWWWWWD • Nasaf: WDDWWWWDDWWWWDDWDLWWWWWDWDDL

League goals

Metric Pakhtakor Nasaf
HATHAT
GF total332457272451
GF avg2.41.72.01.91.71.8
GA total10122291322
GA avg0.70.90.80.60.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePakhtakorNasaf
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%46%89%61%
1.554%29%57%18%
2.529%4%21%0%
3.521%0%11%0%
4.511%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPakhtakorNasaf
HATHAT
Clean sheets87158311
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricPakhtakorNasaf
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricPakhtakorNasaf
Wins55
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-65-01-4
Biggest losses2-32-01-21-0
Goals For6654
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricPakhtakorNasaf
Form68%32%
Att63%37%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Pakhtakor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away4.35 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pakhtakor = 1.49 (league 1.45), Nasaf = 1.09 (league 1.09)

Nasaf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pakhtakor 0 7.6% 8.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.3% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1