Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 10:00 • Markaziy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.46) 0.93 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 26.9% 24.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.6%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Samarqand
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nasaf 0 9.5% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.6% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNasafDinamo Samarqand
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack42%67%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nasaf Dinamo Samarqand
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins64%47%55%53%57%55%
Draws29%40%34%33%29%31%
Loses7%13%10%13%14%14%

Form: Nasaf: WDDWWWWDDWWWWDDWDLWWWWWDWDDLL • Dinamo Samarqand: DWWDDWWWDWWLWLDDWDWDLWWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Nasaf Dinamo Samarqand
HATHAT
GF total272451232447
GF avg1.91.61.81.51.71.6
GA total91423151530
GA avg0.60.90.81.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNasafDinamo Samarqand
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%62%79%66%
1.555%17%52%34%
2.521%0%24%3%
3.510%0%7%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNasafDinamo Samarqand
HATHAT
Clean sheets83116410
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricNasafDinamo Samarqand
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricNasafDinamo Samarqand
Wins53
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-12-4
Biggest losses1-21-00-32-0
Goals For5444
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricNasafDinamo Samarqand
Form33%67%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h75%25%
Goals56%44%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Nasaf or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nasaf = 1.43 (league 1.46), Dinamo Samarqand = 0.93 (league 1.10)

Dinamo Samarqand
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nasaf 0 9.5% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.6% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 24.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1