Persha Liga — Ukraine
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 09:00 • Stadion SKIF
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.12 (league 1.22) 2.82 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.8% 7.2% 85.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
20.9%
0 - 3
19.7%
0 - 1
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chernihiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Yarud Mariupol' 0 5.3% 14.8% 20.9% 19.7% 13.9% 7.8%
1 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYarud Mariupol'Chernihiv
Played33
Form11%33%
Attack11%44%
Defense56%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.33 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Yarud Mariupol' Chernihiv
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%0%0%0%50%33%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%67%100%50%67%

Form: Yarud Mariupol': LLD • Chernihiv: LLW

League goals

Metric Yarud Mariupol' Chernihiv
HATHAT
GF total011134
GF avg0.00.50.31.01.51.3
GA total224213
GA avg2.01.01.32.00.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYarud Mariupol'Chernihiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%67%67%
1.50%67%33%33%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYarud Mariupol'Chernihiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricYarud Mariupol'Chernihiv
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricYarud Mariupol'Chernihiv
Wins00
Draws00
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———0-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-21-0
Goals For0113
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricYarud Mariupol'Chernihiv
Form25%75%
Att20%80%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total42.4%57.6%

Advice: Winner : Chernihiv

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Yarud Mariupol' = 0.12 (league 1.22), Chernihiv = 2.82 (league 1.06)

Chernihiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Yarud Mariupol' 0 5.3% 14.8% 20.9% 19.7% 13.9% 7.8%
1 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.8% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 85.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1