Persha Liga — Ukraine
Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 13:00 • Probiy-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.29 (league 1.22) 2.82 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.1% 15.9% 28.5%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.2%
3 - 3
4.9%
2 - 2
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nyva Ternopil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Probiy Horodenka 0 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
1 0.7% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%
2 1.2% 3.4% 4.8% 4.5% 3.2% 1.8%
3 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
4 1.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6%
5 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProbiy HorodenkaNyva Ternopil
Played44
Form33%42%
Attack50%33%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.54 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 24 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Probiy Horodenka Nyva Ternopil
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws0%50%25%50%50%50%
Loses50%50%50%0%50%25%

Form: Probiy Horodenka: WLLD • Nyva Ternopil: LWDD

League goals

Metric Probiy Horodenka Nyva Ternopil
HATHAT
GF total426134
GF avg2.01.01.50.51.51.0
GA total448044
GA avg2.02.02.00.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProbiy HorodenkaNyva Ternopil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%75%50%
1.525%50%25%50%
2.525%50%0%0%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProbiy HorodenkaNyva Ternopil
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricProbiy HorodenkaNyva Ternopil
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricProbiy HorodenkaNyva Ternopil
Wins11
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-0—
Biggest losses3-43-1—2-1
Goals For3112
Goals Against4302

Model comparison

MetricProbiy HorodenkaNyva Ternopil
Form44%56%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Probiy Horodenka or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ 1xBet
Away2.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 1xBet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Probiy Horodenka = 3.29 (league 1.22), Nyva Ternopil = 2.82 (league 1.06)

Nyva Ternopil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Probiy Horodenka 0 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
1 0.7% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%
2 1.2% 3.4% 4.8% 4.5% 3.2% 1.8%
3 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
4 1.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6%
5 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 28.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1