Persha Liga — Ukraine
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:30 • Probiy-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.22) 1.51 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 21.0% 27.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Vorskla Poltava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Probiy Horodenka 0 2.7% 4.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.7% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProbiy HorodenkaVorskla Poltava
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack100%43%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Probiy Horodenka Vorskla Poltava
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins33%0%17%50%0%33%
Draws0%67%33%25%50%33%
Loses67%33%50%25%50%33%

Form: Probiy Horodenka: WLLDLD • Vorskla Poltava: WWDLLD

League goals

Metric Probiy Horodenka Vorskla Poltava
HATHAT
GF total538505
GF avg1.71.01.31.30.00.8
GA total6511235
GA avg2.01.71.80.51.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProbiy HorodenkaVorskla Poltava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%33%50%
1.517%50%33%17%
2.517%33%17%17%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProbiy HorodenkaVorskla Poltava
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricProbiy HorodenkaVorskla Poltava
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricProbiy HorodenkaVorskla Poltava
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-0—
Biggest losses3-43-10-13-0
Goals For3130
Goals Against4313

Model comparison

MetricProbiy HorodenkaVorskla Poltava
Form29%71%
Att70%30%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : Probiy Horodenka or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.47 @ 1xBet
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away2.04 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.63 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 1xBet
No1.80 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Probiy Horodenka = 2.10 (league 1.22), Vorskla Poltava = 1.51 (league 1.06)

Vorskla Poltava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Probiy Horodenka 0 2.7% 4.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.7% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1