Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:00 •
Slavutych-Arena
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.22)
0.56 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 44.2% | 28.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.3%
0 - 1
18.8%
1 - 0
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | 0 | 33.3% | 18.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Metalurh Zaporizhya | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 25% | 25% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Metalurh Zaporizhya | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Metalurh Zaporizhya: LDWLL • Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Metalurh Zaporizhya | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Metalurh Zaporizhya | Yarud Mariupol' | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 40% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Metalurh Zaporizhya | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Metalurh Zaporizhya | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Metalurh Zaporizhya | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Metalurh Zaporizhya | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Yarud Mariupol' and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Metalurh Zaporizhya = 0.53 (league 1.22), Yarud Mariupol' = 0.56 (league 1.06)
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | 0 | 33.3% | 18.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 44.2% · Away win 28.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1