Persha Liga — Ukraine
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:30 • Ternopilsky Misky Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.21) 0.28 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.3% 30.3% 8.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.2%
0 - 0
22.1%
2 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chernihiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nyva Ternopil 0 22.1% 6.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.2% 7.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 4.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNyva TernopilChernihiv
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack58%42%
Defense58%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nyva Ternopil Chernihiv
HATHAT
Played347145
Wins67%25%43%0%25%20%
Draws33%50%43%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%14%100%75%80%

Form: Nyva Ternopil: LWDDWWD • Chernihiv: LLWLL

League goals

Metric Nyva Ternopil Chernihiv
HATHAT
GF total369145
GF avg1.01.51.31.01.01.0
GA total167268
GA avg0.31.51.02.01.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNyva TernopilChernihiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%60%80%
1.543%29%20%40%
2.50%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNyva TernopilChernihiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricNyva TernopilChernihiv
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNyva TernopilChernihiv
Wins21
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-2—0-3
Biggest losses—2-11-24-1
Goals For2213
Goals Against1224

Model comparison

MetricNyva TernopilChernihiv
Form75%25%
Att58%42%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Nyva Ternopil or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nyva Ternopil = 1.23 (league 1.21), Chernihiv = 0.28 (league 1.08)

Chernihiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nyva Ternopil 0 22.1% 6.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.2% 7.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 4.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 8.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1