Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 12:30 •
Kolos Stadium
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.22)
1.51 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.4% | 26.0% | 55.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Bukovyna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 10.4% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Bukovyna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 100% |
| Attack | 43% | 100% |
| Defense | 57% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Bukovyna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 29% | 67% | 75% | 71% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWD • Bukovyna: DDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Bukovyna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yarud Mariupol' | Bukovyna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 57% | 71% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 43% | 71% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Bukovyna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Bukovyna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Bukovyna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Bukovyna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 34.6% | 65.4% |
Advice: Winner : Bukovyna
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Yarud Mariupol' = 0.75 (league 1.22), Bukovyna = 1.51 (league 1.06)
| Bukovyna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 10.4% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.4% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 55.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1