Persha Liga — Ukraine
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 10:45 • Slavutych-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.22) 4.33 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.1% 3.5% 68.6%
best score tips
0 - 4
12.2%
0 - 3
11.3%
0 - 5
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Inhulets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metalurh Zaporizhya 0 0.8% 3.6% 7.8% 11.3% 12.2% 10.5%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.2% 5.6% 4.8%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetalurh ZaporizhyaInhulets
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack33%100%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metalurh Zaporizhya Inhulets
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins0%33%14%25%67%43%
Draws50%0%29%50%33%43%
Loses50%67%57%25%0%14%

Form: Metalurh Zaporizhya: LDWLLDL • Inhulets: DWDWWDL

League goals

Metric Metalurh Zaporizhya Inhulets
HATHAT
GF total3147714
GF avg0.80.30.61.82.32.0
GA total8412527
GA avg2.01.31.71.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetalurh ZaporizhyaInhulets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%71%57%
1.50%43%71%29%
2.50%43%29%14%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetalurh ZaporizhyaInhulets
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricMetalurh ZaporizhyaInhulets
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMetalurh ZaporizhyaInhulets
Wins12
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-01-5
Biggest losses0-33-02-3—
Goals For1135
Goals Against3331

Model comparison

MetricMetalurh ZaporizhyaInhulets
Form33%67%
Att20%80%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h7%93%
Goals37%63%
Total24.0%76.2%

Advice: Winner : Inhulets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metalurh Zaporizhya = 0.46 (league 1.22), Inhulets = 4.33 (league 1.06)

Inhulets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metalurh Zaporizhya 0 0.8% 3.6% 7.8% 11.3% 12.2% 10.5%
1 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.2% 5.6% 4.8%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.1% · Draw 3.5% · Away win 68.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1