Persha Liga — Ukraine
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 08:30 • Chernihiv Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.28) 0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 33.6% 37.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
16.8%
1 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernihiv 0 17.8% 16.8% 7.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChernihivPodillya Khmelnytskyi
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack56%56%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chernihiv Podillya Khmelnytskyi
HATHAT
Played156448
Wins0%20%17%25%0%13%
Draws0%0%0%25%50%38%
Loses100%80%83%50%50%50%

Form: Chernihiv: LLWLLL • Podillya Khmelnytskyi: LLDLLDDW

League goals

Metric Chernihiv Podillya Khmelnytskyi
HATHAT
GF total145426
GF avg1.00.80.81.00.50.8
GA total28109413
GA avg2.01.61.72.31.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChernihivPodillya Khmelnytskyi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%63%88%
1.517%50%13%38%
2.517%17%0%13%
3.50%17%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChernihivPodillya Khmelnytskyi
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score033123

Penalties

MetricChernihivPodillya Khmelnytskyi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChernihivPodillya Khmelnytskyi
Wins10
Draws02
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-32-1—
Biggest losses1-24-11-52-1
Goals For1321
Goals Against2452

Model comparison

MetricChernihivPodillya Khmelnytskyi
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h9%91%
Goals27%73%
Total36.8%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Podillya Khmelnytskyi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chernihiv = 0.78 (league 1.28), Podillya Khmelnytskyi = 0.94 (league 1.06)

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernihiv 0 17.8% 16.8% 7.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 37.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1