Persha Liga — Ukraine
Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 09:00 • Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.22) 0.45 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.8% 24.3% 10.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.7%
2 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chernihiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vorskla Poltava 0 13.1% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.7% 9.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 7.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVorskla PoltavaChernihiv
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack33%56%
Defense44%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vorskla Poltava Chernihiv
HATHAT
Played549257
Wins40%25%33%0%20%14%
Draws40%25%33%50%0%14%
Loses20%50%33%50%80%71%

Form: Vorskla Poltava: WWDLLDWDL • Chernihiv: LLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Vorskla Poltava Chernihiv
HATHAT
GF total628246
GF avg1.20.50.91.00.80.9
GA total3473811
GA avg0.61.00.81.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVorskla PoltavaChernihiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%56%57%86%
1.533%11%14%43%
2.511%11%14%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVorskla PoltavaChernihiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score235033

Penalties

MetricVorskla PoltavaChernihiv
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricVorskla PoltavaChernihiv
Wins21
Draws10
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-2—0-3
Biggest losses0-13-01-24-1
Goals For3213
Goals Against1324

Model comparison

MetricVorskla PoltavaChernihiv
Form56%44%
Att38%63%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.3%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Vorskla Poltava or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vorskla Poltava = 1.58 (league 1.22), Chernihiv = 0.45 (league 1.06)

Chernihiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vorskla Poltava 0 13.1% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.7% 9.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 7.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 10.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1