Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Thu, Oct 9 2025 • 10:15 •
Kolos Stadium
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.22)
0.98 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.0% | 30.4% | 32.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Metal Kharkiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metal Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 42% |
| Defense | 33% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metal Kharkiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 22% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 60% | 56% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
Form: Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDLL • Metal Kharkiv: LLDLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metal Kharkiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yarud Mariupol' | Metal Kharkiv | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 56% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metal Kharkiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metal Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metal Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metal Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 8% | 92% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Metal Kharkiv
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Yarud Mariupol' = 1.07 (league 1.22), Metal Kharkiv = 0.98 (league 1.06)
| Metal Kharkiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 32.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1