Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 11:30 •
Kolos Stadium
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.22)
1.47 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.1% | 26.6% | 52.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Nyva Ternopil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 10.5% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 53% |
| Attack | 27% | 55% |
| Defense | 27% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 18% | 60% | 33% | 45% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 18% | 20% | 50% | 36% |
| Loses | 60% | 67% | 64% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
Form: Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDLLLL • Nyva Ternopil: LWDDWWDWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 73% | 82% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 45% | 45% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11% | 89% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 31.2% | 68.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nyva Ternopil
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Yarud Mariupol' = 0.79 (league 1.22), Nyva Ternopil = 1.47 (league 1.06)
| Nyva Ternopil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 10.5% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 52.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1