Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadion Chornomorets
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.22)
0.15 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7% | 26.2% | 3.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.8%
0 - 0
21.5%
2 - 0
20.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Chernihiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chornomorets | 0 | 21.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.8% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chornomorets | Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 64% | 45% |
| Defense | 73% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chornomorets | Chernihiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Wins | 67% | 80% | 73% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 27% | 33% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 56% |
Form: Chornomorets: WWDWWWWWWDD • Chernihiv: LLWLLLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Chornomorets | Chernihiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chornomorets | Chernihiv | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 27% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 9% | 22% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chornomorets | Chernihiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chornomorets | Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chornomorets | Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chornomorets | Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 70.3% | 29.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Chornomorets or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chornomorets = 1.39 (league 1.22), Chernihiv = 0.15 (league 1.06)
| Chernihiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chornomorets | 0 | 21.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.8% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.7% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 3.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1