Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 09:00 •
Chernihiv Stadium
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.29)
0.09 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.8% | 20.6% | 1.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.0%
2 - 0
23.7%
0 - 0
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 27% | 18% |
| Defense | 36% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 27% | 11% | 13% | 12% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 53% | 56% | 88% | 71% |
Form: Chernihiv: LLWLLLDWWLDLDLW • Metalurh Zaporizhya: LDWLLDLDLLLLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 73% | 29% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 33% | 6% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 13% | 0% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 64.2% | 36.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Chernihiv or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chernihiv = 1.63 (league 1.29), Metalurh Zaporizhya = 0.09 (league 1.06)
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 1.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1