Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 09:00 •
Chernihiv Stadium
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.22)
0.19 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.2% | 14.1% | 2.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
22.3%
1 - 0
20.9%
3 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 9.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.3% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 31% | 0% |
| Defense | 69% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 29% | 30% | 0% | 20% | 8% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 10% | 43% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 71% | 60% | 57% | 80% | 67% |
Form: Chernihiv: LLWLLLDWWL • Metalurh Zaporizhya: LDWLLDLDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 70% | 33% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chernihiv | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Chernihiv or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chernihiv = 2.14 (league 1.22), Metalurh Zaporizhya = 0.19 (league 1.06)
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 9.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.3% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.2% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 2.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1