Probiy Horodenka vs Yarud Mariupol'

Persha Liga — Ukraine

Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:00 • Probiy-Arena

Match Finished

Probiy Horodenka

0 - 0

Yarud Mariupol'

Expected Goals

0.85 (league 1.22) 0.51 (league 1.06)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
41.4%	38.0%	20.6%

best score tips

0 - 0

25.6%

1 - 0

21.9%

0 - 1

13.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Yarud Mariupol'
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Probiy Horodenka	0	25.6%	13.0%	3.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	21.9%	11.1%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	9.3%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.7%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Probiy Horodenka	Yarud Mariupol'
Played	5	5
Form	47%	0%
Attack	33%	17%
Defense	75%	25%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	9 \| 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%

FT probability

2.5+

42%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

58%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Probiy Horodenka			Yarud Mariupol'
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	6	12	6	6	12
Wins	17%	33%	25%	33%	0%	17%
Draws	0%	50%	25%	0%	33%	17%
Loses	83%	17%	50%	67%	67%	67%

Form: Probiy Horodenka: WLLDLDLDLWLW • Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDLLLLL

League goals

Metric	Probiy Horodenka			Yarud Mariupol'
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	5	7	12	4	2	6
GF avg	0.8	1.2	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.5
GA total	11	5	16	8	8	16
GA avg	1.8	0.8	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Probiy Horodenka		Yarud Mariupol'
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	67%	67%	42%	75%
1.5	17%	42%	8%	50%
2.5	17%	17%	0%	8%
3.5	0%	8%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Probiy Horodenka			Yarud Mariupol'
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	3	4	2	1	3
Failed to score	3	1	4	3	4	7

Penalties

Metric	Probiy Horodenka	Yarud Mariupol'
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Probiy Horodenka	Yarud Mariupol'
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	0-3	1-0	—
Biggest losses	0-2	3-1	0-2	2-0
Goals For	3	3	2	1
Goals Against	4	3	3	2

Model comparison

Metric	Probiy Horodenka	Yarud Mariupol'
Form	100%	0%
Att	67%	33%
Def	75%	25%
Poisson Distribution	63%	37%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	68.3%	31.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Probiy Horodenka or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Probiy Horodenka vs Yarud Mariupol'

Expected goals (λ): Probiy Horodenka = 0.85 (league 1.22), Yarud Mariupol' = 0.51 (league 1.06)

		Yarud Mariupol'
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Probiy Horodenka	0	25.6%	13.0%	3.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	21.9%	11.1%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	9.3%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.7%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.4% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 20.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Probiy Horodenka	Yarud Mariupol'
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0