Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 09:30 •
Stadion Yunist
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.28)
0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.3% | 32.8% | 35.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
16.5%
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Probiy Horodenka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 16.5% | 15.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chernihiv | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 27% | 36% |
| Defense | 36% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chernihiv | Probiy Horodenka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 27% | 22% | 25% | 24% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 11% | 38% | 24% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 53% | 67% | 38% | 53% |
Form: Chernihiv: LLWLLLDWWLDLDLW • Probiy Horodenka: WLLDLDLDLWLWDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Chernihiv | Probiy Horodenka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 14 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chernihiv | Probiy Horodenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 73% | 59% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 33% | 18% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 13% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chernihiv | Probiy Horodenka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chernihiv | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chernihiv | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chernihiv | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Probiy Horodenka
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chernihiv = 0.86 (league 1.28), Probiy Horodenka = 0.94 (league 1.06)
| Probiy Horodenka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 16.5% | 15.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 35.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1