Persha Liga — Ukraine
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:00 • MCS Rukh
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.28) 0.61 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.3% 40.0% 27.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.2%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Yarud Mariupol'
0 1 2 3 4 5
Prykarpattia 0 27.2% 16.7% 5.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 11.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPrykarpattiaYarud Mariupol'
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack33%22%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Prykarpattia Yarud Mariupol'
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%38%31%38%13%25%
Draws38%13%25%0%38%19%
Loses38%50%44%63%50%56%

Form: Prykarpattia: WWLLLDDLWLDWLLWD • Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDLLLLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Prykarpattia Yarud Mariupol'
HATHAT
GF total613196410
GF avg0.81.61.20.80.50.6
GA total1012229918
GA avg1.31.51.41.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePrykarpattiaYarud Mariupol'
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%69%44%69%
1.525%50%19%38%
2.56%19%0%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPrykarpattiaYarud Mariupol'
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score202459

Penalties

MetricPrykarpattiaYarud Mariupol'
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricPrykarpattiaYarud Mariupol'
Wins21
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-22-0
Goals For1322
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricPrykarpattiaYarud Mariupol'
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h85%15%
Goals70%30%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Prykarpattia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Prykarpattia = 0.69 (league 1.28), Yarud Mariupol' = 0.61 (league 1.06)

Yarud Mariupol'
0 1 2 3 4 5
Prykarpattia 0 27.2% 16.7% 5.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 11.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 40.0% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1