Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 09:00 •
Stadion SKIF
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.28)
1.35 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.1% | 27.0% | 41.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| UCSA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 8.4% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | UCSA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 29% | 71% |
| Defense | 64% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | UCSA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 11% | 24% | 33% | 38% | 35% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 18% | 44% | 0% | 24% |
| Loses | 63% | 56% | 59% | 22% | 63% | 41% |
Form: Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDLLLLLDLWWL • UCSA: WLDLWDLDLWLLLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | UCSA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yarud Mariupol' | UCSA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 41% | 71% | 47% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 41% | 29% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 12% | 18% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | UCSA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | UCSA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | UCSA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | UCSA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or UCSA
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Yarud Mariupol' = 1.13 (league 1.28), UCSA = 1.35 (league 1.06)
| UCSA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 8.4% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.1% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 41.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1