Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 09:00 •
Chernihiv Arena
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.29)
0.34 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.6% | 28.7% | 9.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.1%
0 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 19.1% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.1% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 55% | 45% |
| Defense | 55% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 43% | 20% | 29% | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| Draws | 29% | 20% | 24% | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| Loses | 29% | 60% | 47% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
Form: Chernihiv: LLWLLLDWWLDLDLWWD • Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDLLLLLDLWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 71% | 44% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 29% | 17% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 12% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chernihiv | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Yarud Mariupol'
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chernihiv = 1.31 (league 1.29), Yarud Mariupol' = 0.34 (league 1.06)
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chernihiv | 0 | 19.1% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.1% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 9.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1