Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadion SKIF
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.27)
1.37 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.4% | 28.0% | 56.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 0
14.4%
0 - 2
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Chornomorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 14.4% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 64% | 50% |
| Defense | 57% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Chornomorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 26% | 67% | 56% | 61% |
| Draws | 11% | 30% | 21% | 22% | 33% | 28% |
| Loses | 56% | 50% | 53% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Form: Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDLLLLLDLWWLDW • Chornomorets: WDWWWWWWDDWDLDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Chornomorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yarud Mariupol' | Chornomorets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 74% | 83% | 39% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 37% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 11% | 17% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Chornomorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 40.2% | 59.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Chornomorets
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Yarud Mariupol' = 0.57 (league 1.27), Chornomorets = 1.37 (league 1.04)
| Chornomorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 14.4% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.4% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 56.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1