Persha Liga — Ukraine
Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 10:00 • Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.27) 0.12 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.4% 29.1% 3.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
31.8%
0 - 0
25.2%
2 - 0
20.1%
Score & goals probability table
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 1 2 3 4 5
UCSA 0 25.2% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.8% 3.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.1% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUCSAMetalurh Zaporizhya
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack89%56%
Defense44%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UCSA Metalurh Zaporizhya
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%30%32%10%11%11%
Draws44%10%26%40%11%26%
Loses22%60%42%50%78%63%

Form: UCSA: WLDLWDLDLWLLLWWWDDL • Metalurh Zaporizhya: LDWLLDLDLLLLLLLLDDW

League goals

Metric UCSA Metalurh Zaporizhya
HATHAT
GF total71118729
GF avg0.81.10.90.70.20.5
GA total51621191837
GA avg0.61.61.11.92.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUCSAMetalurh Zaporizhya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%74%37%84%
1.526%21%11%53%
2.516%11%0%47%
3.55%5%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUCSAMetalurh Zaporizhya
HATHAT
Clean sheets415213
Failed to score55105712

Penalties

MetricUCSAMetalurh Zaporizhya
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricUCSAMetalurh Zaporizhya
Wins31
Draws22
Losses38

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-42-00-1
Biggest losses0-14-10-53-0
Goals For3421
Goals Against1453

Model comparison

MetricUCSAMetalurh Zaporizhya
Form62%38%
Att62%38%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h93%7%
Goals78%22%
Total74.2%25.8%

Advice: Double chance : UCSA or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UCSA = 1.26 (league 1.27), Metalurh Zaporizhya = 0.12 (league 1.03)

Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 1 2 3 4 5
UCSA 0 25.2% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.8% 3.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.1% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 3.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1