Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Topolica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.46) 1.03 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.0% 24.9% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sutjeska
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mornar 0 7.2% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.9% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMornarSutjeska
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack70%100%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mornar Sutjeska
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%20%22%80%25%56%
Draws75%20%44%20%25%22%
Loses0%60%33%0%50%22%

Form: Mornar: LDLWLWDDD • Sutjeska: WWDLWWLWD

League goals

Metric Mornar Sutjeska
HATHAT
GF total751214317
GF avg1.81.01.32.80.81.9
GA total6915459
GA avg1.51.81.70.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMornarSutjeska
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%100%89%56%
1.544%56%44%33%
2.50%11%33%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMornarSutjeska
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricMornarSutjeska
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMornarSutjeska
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-25-20-1
Biggest losses—3-0—3-1
Goals For2251
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMornarSutjeska
Form38%63%
Att39%61%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total41.3%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sutjeska

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ William Hill
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mornar = 1.60 (league 1.46), Sutjeska = 1.03 (league 1.16)

Sutjeska
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mornar 0 7.2% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.9% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1