Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Topolica
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.46) 0.86 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 23.2% 18.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Dečić
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mornar 0 7.3% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.9% 11.0% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMornarDečić
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack55%64%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mornar Dečić
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%33%36%67%40%55%
Draws60%17%36%17%20%18%
Loses0%50%27%17%40%27%

Form: Mornar: LDLWLWDDDWW • Dečić: WWWLDLWDLWW

League goals

Metric Mornar Dečić
HATHAT
GF total861411415
GF avg1.61.01.31.80.81.4
GA total69158816
GA avg1.21.51.41.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMornarDečić
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%82%73%82%
1.536%45%45%45%
2.50%9%18%9%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMornarDečić
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricMornarDečić
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMornarDečić
Wins13
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-11-2
Biggest losses3-00-24-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricMornarDečić
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h7%93%
Goals20%80%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dečić

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Marathonbet
No1.66 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mornar = 1.76 (league 1.46), Dečić = 0.86 (league 1.12)

Dečić
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mornar 0 7.3% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.9% 11.0% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 18.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1