Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:30 • Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.49) 3.20 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.3% 13.6% 63.3%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.8%
1 - 2
7.3%
1 - 4
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Asteras Tripolis 0 1.1% 3.4% 5.5% 5.8% 4.7% 3.0%
1 1.4% 4.6% 7.3% 7.8% 6.2% 4.0%
2 1.0% 3.1% 4.9% 5.2% 4.2% 2.7%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2%
4 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAsteras TripolisPAOK
Played44
Form8%83%
Attack20%27%
Defense53%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.81 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Asteras Tripolis PAOK
HATHAT
Played134314
Wins0%0%0%67%100%75%
Draws100%0%25%33%0%25%
Loses0%100%75%0%0%0%

Form: Asteras Tripolis: LLDL • PAOK: WWWD

League goals

Metric Asteras Tripolis PAOK
HATHAT
GF total213224
GF avg2.00.30.80.72.01.0
GA total257011
GA avg2.01.71.80.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAsteras TripolisPAOK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%25%
1.525%75%25%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAsteras TripolisPAOK
HATHAT
Clean sheets000303
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricAsteras TripolisPAOK
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAsteras TripolisPAOK
Wins03
Draws10
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-01-2
Biggest losses—2-0——
Goals For2112
Goals Against2201

Model comparison

MetricAsteras TripolisPAOK
Form9%91%
Att43%57%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h7%93%
Goals24%76%
Total20.5%79.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or PAOK

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away1.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Betano
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Asteras Tripolis = 1.34 (league 1.49), PAOK = 3.20 (league 1.25)

PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Asteras Tripolis 0 1.1% 3.4% 5.5% 5.8% 4.7% 3.0%
1 1.4% 4.6% 7.3% 7.8% 6.2% 4.0%
2 1.0% 3.1% 4.9% 5.2% 4.2% 2.7%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2%
4 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.3% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 63.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1