Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:30 • Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.47) 1.58 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.6% 24.4% 42.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.0%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Panathinaikos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris Thessalonikis 0 5.3% 8.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
1 7.2% 11.4% 9.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.7% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAris ThessalonikisPanathinaikos
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack25%44%
Defense56%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
HATHAT
Played336325
Wins33%67%50%33%50%40%
Draws33%0%17%67%0%40%
Loses33%33%33%0%50%20%

Form: Aris Thessalonikis: WLWWDL • Panathinaikos: DLDWW

League goals

Metric Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
HATHAT
GF total336347
GF avg1.01.01.01.02.01.4
GA total347246
GA avg1.01.31.20.72.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAris ThessalonikisPanathinaikos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%80%
1.533%33%40%20%
2.50%17%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAris ThessalonikisPanathinaikos
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricAris ThessalonikisPanathinaikos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAris ThessalonikisPanathinaikos
Wins20
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-21-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-0—3-2
Goals For2212
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricAris ThessalonikisPanathinaikos
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Panathinaikos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betano
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aris Thessalonikis = 1.36 (league 1.47), Panathinaikos = 1.58 (league 1.27)

Panathinaikos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris Thessalonikis 0 5.3% 8.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
1 7.2% 11.4% 9.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.7% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1