Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • AEL FC Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.48) 2.41 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 17.0% 67.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.8%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larisa 0 3.7% 9.0% 10.8% 8.7% 5.2% 2.5%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.4% 3.5% 4.2% 3.4% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLarisaOlympiakos Piraeus
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack32%55%
Defense55%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Larisa Olympiakos Piraeus
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%100%33%67%
Draws67%67%67%0%33%17%
Loses33%33%33%0%33%17%

Form: Larisa: LDDDDL • Olympiakos Piraeus: WWWDWL

League goals

Metric Larisa Olympiakos Piraeus
HATHAT
GF total43710414
GF avg1.31.01.23.31.32.3
GA total7411235
GA avg2.31.31.80.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLarisaOlympiakos Piraeus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%100%50%
1.533%33%67%33%
2.50%17%33%0%
3.50%17%17%0%
4.50%17%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLarisaOlympiakos Piraeus
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricLarisaOlympiakos Piraeus
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLarisaOlympiakos Piraeus
Wins03
Draws41
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——5-00-2
Biggest losses2-51-0—2-1
Goals For2252
Goals Against5222

Model comparison

MetricLarisaOlympiakos Piraeus
Form29%71%
Att37%63%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h0%100%
Goals16%84%
Total27.8%72.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Olympiakos Piraeus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.00 @ William Hill
Draw6.30 @ Pinnacle
Away1.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ 188Bet
No1.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Larisa = 0.88 (league 1.48), Olympiakos Piraeus = 2.41 (league 1.24)

Olympiakos Piraeus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larisa 0 3.7% 9.0% 10.8% 8.7% 5.2% 2.5%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.4% 3.5% 4.2% 3.4% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 67.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1