Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 19:00 • Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.47) 0.95 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.8% 18.8% 14.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olympiakos Piraeus 0 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlympiakos PiraeusAEK Athens FC
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%50%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olympiakos Piraeus AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%50%71%75%67%71%
Draws0%25%14%0%33%14%
Loses0%25%14%25%0%14%

Form: Olympiakos Piraeus: WWWDWLW • AEK Athens FC: WWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Olympiakos Piraeus AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
GF total10616459
GF avg3.31.52.31.01.71.3
GA total235235
GA avg0.70.80.70.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlympiakos PiraeusAEK Athens FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%86%43%
1.571%29%29%29%
2.529%0%14%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlympiakos PiraeusAEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricOlympiakos PiraeusAEK Athens FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricOlympiakos PiraeusAEK Athens FC
Wins33
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses—2-10-2—
Goals For5223
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricOlympiakos PiraeusAEK Athens FC
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h80%20%
Goals83%17%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Double chance : Olympiakos Piraeus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ William Hill
Draw3.65 @ Betano
Away4.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Olympiakos Piraeus = 2.24 (league 1.47), AEK Athens FC = 0.95 (league 1.25)

AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olympiakos Piraeus 0 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 14.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1