Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:30 • Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.48) 0.28 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.7% 30.7% 8.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.2%
0 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Asteras Tripolis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panathinaikos 0 22.3% 6.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.2% 7.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack58%75%
Defense50%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Panathinaikos Asteras Tripolis
HATHAT
Played336347
Wins33%33%33%0%0%0%
Draws67%33%50%100%0%43%
Loses0%33%17%0%100%57%

Form: Panathinaikos: DLDWWD • Asteras Tripolis: LLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Panathinaikos Asteras Tripolis
HATHAT
GF total358729
GF avg1.01.71.32.30.51.3
GA total2577714
GA avg0.71.71.22.31.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%71%100%
1.533%17%43%86%
2.50%17%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricPanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
Wins20
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-2——
Biggest losses—3-2—2-0
Goals For1231
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricPanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
Form73%27%
Att44%56%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h60%40%
Goals70%30%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Panathinaikos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Dafabet
Draw6.32 @ Pinnacle
Away13.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ SBO
Under 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Panathinaikos = 1.22 (league 1.48), Asteras Tripolis = 0.28 (league 1.24)

Asteras Tripolis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panathinaikos 0 22.3% 6.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.2% 7.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.7% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 8.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1