Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 • Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.48) 0.32 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 30.7% 9.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.1%
0 - 0
21.4%
2 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Asteras Tripolis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris Thessalonikis 0 21.4% 6.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack29%64%
Defense43%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%40%33%25%0%11%
Draws50%20%33%75%0%33%
Loses25%40%33%0%100%56%

Form: Aris Thessalonikis: WLWWDLDDL • Asteras Tripolis: LLDLDLDLW

League goals

Metric Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis
HATHAT
GF total45910212
GF avg1.01.01.02.50.41.3
GA total47117916
GA avg1.01.41.21.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%67%89%
1.522%33%44%78%
2.50%11%22%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricAris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
Wins20
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-0—
Biggest losses0-23-0—2-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricAris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
Form38%63%
Att31%69%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total51.0%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Asteras Tripolis

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away5.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aris Thessalonikis = 1.22 (league 1.48), Asteras Tripolis = 0.32 (league 1.24)

Asteras Tripolis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris Thessalonikis 0 21.4% 6.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 9.8%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1