Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 19:00 • OPAP Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.48) 0.32 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 37.3% 12.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.1%
1 - 0
26.6%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Aris Thessalonikis
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Athens FC 0 28.1% 9.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 8.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack31%19%
Defense63%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Athens FC Aris Thessalonikis
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%60%70%20%40%30%
Draws0%20%10%60%20%40%
Loses20%20%20%20%40%30%

Form: AEK Athens FC: WWWDWWLLWW • Aris Thessalonikis: WLWWDLDDLD

League goals

Metric AEK Athens FC Aris Thessalonikis
HATHAT
GF total5611459
GF avg1.01.21.10.81.00.9
GA total2574711
GA avg0.41.00.70.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%70%70%
1.520%30%20%30%
2.510%0%0%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricAEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-23-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricAEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
Form75%25%
Att63%38%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total71.8%28.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AEK Athens FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away7.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Betano
Under 2.51.87 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Unibet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Athens FC = 0.95 (league 1.48), Aris Thessalonikis = 0.32 (league 1.24)

Aris Thessalonikis
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Athens FC 0 28.1% 9.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 8.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 12.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod2