Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:30 • Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.48) 0.64 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.2% 38.2% 27.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.7%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Larisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris Thessalonikis 0 24.7% 15.9% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAris ThessalonikisLarisa
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack23%23%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aris Thessalonikis Larisa
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%0%20%9%
Draws60%17%36%33%40%36%
Loses20%50%36%67%40%55%

Form: Aris Thessalonikis: WLWWDLDDLDL • Larisa: LDDDDLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Aris Thessalonikis Larisa
HATHAT
GF total4595510
GF avg0.80.80.80.81.00.9
GA total481213720
GA avg0.81.31.12.21.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAris ThessalonikisLarisa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%64%91%
1.518%27%27%55%
2.50%9%0%18%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAris ThessalonikisLarisa
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricAris ThessalonikisLarisa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAris ThessalonikisLarisa
Wins21
Draws24
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-2—0-2
Biggest losses0-23-02-53-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricAris ThessalonikisLarisa
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Aris Thessalonikis or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ 188Bet
Draw4.28 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ SBO
Under 2.51.90 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aris Thessalonikis = 0.76 (league 1.48), Larisa = 0.64 (league 1.24)

Larisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris Thessalonikis 0 24.7% 15.9% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 27.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1